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IMCD:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMIMCD N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

€71.92

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

IMCD is trading at €71.92, well below its 52‑week high of €132.9 but just above the recent support level of €69.04. The price sits under both the 20‑day (≈€79.96) and 50‑day (≈€80.07) simple moving averages, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence (MACD line ≈ ‑3.21 vs signal ≈ ‑1.94) and the RSI is near 36, indicating limited upside momentum. Volume is increasing, suggesting renewed interest, yet the technical picture remains soft. On the fundamentals side, the DCF fair value of roughly €44.75 marks the stock as overvalued relative to the current price, but a forward PE of 11.8 and a projected upside of about 50% (per the upside/downside metric) point to potential value recovery. The recent acquisition of Willows Ingredients to broaden food and nutrition capabilities could re‑ignite growth, while a 2.56% dividend yield with a 58% payout ratio appears sustainable given solid free cash flow. Overall, the mix of bearish short‑term technical signals, an overvalued valuation, and strategic expansion creates a nuanced outlook that leans toward cautious positioning.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below short‑term SMAs
  • RSI near oversold but no clear reversal pattern
  • Proximity to technical support at €69.04

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic acquisition expanding food & nutrition segment
  • Forward PE of 11.8 indicating earnings upside
  • Increasing trading volume and improving earnings trajectory

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend yield with healthy cash flow
  • Diversified global footprint mitigating geographic risk
  • Potential for margin improvement as integration of new assets matures

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.50%
Profit Margin4.53%
P/E Ratio19.5
ROE10.22%
ROA5.17%
Debt/Equity87.66
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow€322.3M
Free Cash Flow€303.5M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI36.6
Support€69.04
Resistance€95.00
MA 20€79.96
MA 50€80.07
MA 200€91.24
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16

Valuation

Fair Value€44.75
Target Price€108.39
Upside/Downside50.71%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.56%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.35
Volatility56.40%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.