IMCD:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMIMCD N.V. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
€71.92
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
IMCD is trading at €71.92, well below its 52‑week high of €132.9 but just above the recent support level of €69.04. The price sits under both the 20‑day (≈€79.96) and 50‑day (≈€80.07) simple moving averages, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence (MACD line ≈ ‑3.21 vs signal ≈ ‑1.94) and the RSI is near 36, indicating limited upside momentum. Volume is increasing, suggesting renewed interest, yet the technical picture remains soft. On the fundamentals side, the DCF fair value of roughly €44.75 marks the stock as overvalued relative to the current price, but a forward PE of 11.8 and a projected upside of about 50% (per the upside/downside metric) point to potential value recovery. The recent acquisition of Willows Ingredients to broaden food and nutrition capabilities could re‑ignite growth, while a 2.56% dividend yield with a 58% payout ratio appears sustainable given solid free cash flow. Overall, the mix of bearish short‑term technical signals, an overvalued valuation, and strategic expansion creates a nuanced outlook that leans toward cautious positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below short‑term SMAs
- RSI near oversold but no clear reversal pattern
- Proximity to technical support at €69.04
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strategic acquisition expanding food & nutrition segment
- Forward PE of 11.8 indicating earnings upside
- Increasing trading volume and improving earnings trajectory
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend yield with healthy cash flow
- Diversified global footprint mitigating geographic risk
- Potential for margin improvement as integration of new assets matures
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.50%
Profit Margin4.53%
P/E Ratio19.5
ROE10.22%
ROA5.17%
Debt/Equity87.66
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow€322.3M
Free Cash Flow€303.5M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI36.6
Support€69.04
Resistance€95.00
MA 20€79.96
MA 50€80.07
MA 200€91.24
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16
Valuation
Fair Value€44.75
Target Price€108.39
Upside/Downside50.71%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.56%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.35
Volatility56.40%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.